Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
- The Big Short
- Beasts Of No Nation
- Straight Outta Compton
I feel as though the only nominees in this category that have a shot, are the top, maybe Trumbo because it has such a large may have a small shot, but I think this is between The Big Short and Spotlight, with The Big Short taking the win. The acting is showier and the movie itself isn’t as subdued, and it has the narrative of “importance”, just as Spotlight does. The Big Short has the edge, but it’s close.
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
- Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
- Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
- Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
- Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl
- Johnny Depp – Black Mass
This category is easy, DiCaprio is winning, this his year. Everyone else can stay home.
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
- Brie Larson – Room
- Saorise Ronan – Brooklyn
- Cate Blanchett – Carol
- Sarah Silverman – I Smile Back
- Helen Mirren – Woman In Gold
This race is between Saorise Ronan and Brie Larson, with Brie Larson I think taking it pretty easily. Her character is extremely sympathetic and plays it pretty perfectly, while Saorise Ronan gives what some may call a very internal performance, in a situation that really isn’t all weighty, whereas Brie Larson’s character is handed perhaps one of the most awful, devastating ordeals a person could ever be dealt. It helps that Larson is pitch-perfect in the role as well.
Brie Larson has this fairly easily, in my opinion.
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
- Christian Bale – The Big Short
- Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
- Idris Elba – Beasts Of No Nation
- Jacob Tremblay – Room
- Michael Shannon – 99 Homes
It’s a close race between Bale and Rylance and either one realistically has a strong shot, but it’s clear that The Big Short has stronger support within SAG and Rylance is nominated in a television category so they may want to reward him there instead of here. Tough call.
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
- Rooney Mara – Carol
- Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
- Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs
- Rachel McAdams – Spotlight
- Helen Mirren – Trumbo
It’s a possibility that any of the first three could take the win, though I think Rooney Mara is most likely going to take it. She’s a previous nominee in a role that has sustained buzz since May, it helps that she also has the Cannes Best Actress win for the same role. Though Alicia Vikander is quite close, she has had a breakout year that’s sure to land her some quality roles in the future. Her role is one that could easily take it, though her movie has been all that well-received (rightfully so). There also have been some vocal critics of Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander being nominated at all in this category, since both are co-leads in their films, and voters may take notice and decide to reward a true supporting performance (Kate Winslet being the most likely candidate to win in that case scenario).